AI: ¿RETROCESO O QUIEBRA?

      La I.A. siempre ha sido una industria basada en la novedad. la promesa de ChatGPT en su página web siempre ha sido algo parecido a "encuentra inspiración creativa, aprende algo nuevo". Sin embargo, cuando se trata de los detalles, siempre ha sido famosamente inadecuada en lo que se refiere a los detalles, (busque A.I. manos si quiere una prueba rápida), Económicamente, A.I. ha tratado de empujarse a sí misma en tantos mercados como sea posible, principalmente cuando se trata de esfuerzos creativos como la ilustración y la escritura. Naturalmente, la gente ha intentado crear empresas relacionadas con la I.A. y el alquiler de su tecnología. Sin embargo, con el paso del tiempo, y a medida que la novedad de la tecnología se ha ido desvaneciendo, hasta qué punto es realmente viable abrir una empresa centrada en la Inteligencia Artificial. 

    El mercado ha sido duro para todos. Según la Oficina de Estadísticas Laborales, el índice de precios al consumo ha aumentado un 0.55%. 100 dólares en enero de 2000 valen lo mismo que 185,03 dólares en marzo de 2024. Empresas como Stability A.I. o Anthropic han tenido problemas para cubrir la diferencia entre sus gastos y sus beneficios. Los grandes nombres del sector, ChatGPT o productos similares, no han logrado encontrar una estrategia viable para recaudar fondos que les permitan compensar los costes de desarrollo de sus tecnologías. Sencillamente, la tecnología es más cara que los métodos que ya se utilizan. Incluso grandes empresas tecnológicas como Google o Meta (antes conocida como Facebook) han tenido dificultades para hacer que estas tecnologías funcionen.

    Además, la regulación de la inteligencia artificial está aumentando en todo el mundo. Siempre lleva tiempo que la ley se ponga al día con el progreso, y hemos llegado a ese punto. En la Unión Europea, desde el año pasado se han puesto en marcha normativas para proteger y controlar el mercado de la inteligencia artificial. La ley del Parlamento restringe la bio-métrica, la lectura emocional y la policía predictiva. Hay excepciones para casos extremos y emergencias, pero por lo demás la Inteligencia Artificial parece ser algo que no debe utilizarse libremente en la Unión. Además, se han establecido requisitos y medidas de transparencia obligatorios para cualquier empresa que quiera entrar en este campo. Aunque Estados Unidos ha permitido un mercado relativamente libre para la Inteligencia Artificial a nivel nacional, ha presionado en la asamblea de la ONU para aumentar la regulación global de la Inteligencia Artificial, lo que puede ser indicativo de una agenda a largo plazo. En definitiva, parece que cada vez será más difícil entrar en este campo. 

   En definitiva, hoy en día es difícil dedicarse a la inteligencia artificial. Es fácil ver el marketing y la notoriedad de empresas como OpenAI, sin embargo, si vas a entrar en la industria es importante saber lo que está sucediendo dentro de ella. La I.A. va a cambiar el mundo, pero cuanto más cambien las cosas más permanecerán igual. La razón por la que se evalúan estos hechos es para que uno pueda tomar la mejor decisión sobre en qué invertir o qué convertir en su medio de vida. La inteligencia artificial está aquí para quedarse, así que tenemos que aprender tanto cómo cambiará el mundo como cómo no lo hará.  

Fuentes

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/29/technology/ai-startups-financial-reality.html?login=google&auth=login-google

https://www.bls.gov/eag/eag.us.htm

https://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl?cost1=100.00&year1=200001&year2=202403

https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20240308IPR19015/artificial-intelligence-act-meps-adopt-landmark-law

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-14/us-pushes-for-global-ai-rules-at-un-as-regulations-lag-behind 

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AI: SET-BACK OR BUST?

     A.I. has always been an industry based on novelty. the promise of ChatGPT on its website has always been something along the lines of "find creative inspiration, learn something new." However, when it comes to the details, it has always been famously inadequate when it comes to details, (look-up A.I. hands if you want quick prove), Economically, A.I. has tried to push itself into as many markets as possible, primarily when it comes to creative endeavors such as illustration and writing. Naturally people have tried to begin enterprises relating to A.I. and the renting of their technology. However, as time has gone on, and as the novelty of the technology has faded, how viable is it really to open an A.I. centered firm.

    The market has been tough on everyone. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics the consumer price index has index has increased by 0.55 %. $100 dollars in the January of 2000 will get you the same as $185.03 in the March of 2024. This has naturally has affected the A.I. Business such as Stability A.I. or Anthropic have struggled to meet the gap between their expenses and their profits. The big names in the industry, ChatGPT or similar products, have failed to find a viable strategy to raise funds so that they make-up for the costs in developing their technologies. Quite simply, the technology is just more expensive than methods already in use. Even big tech companies like Google or Meta (previously known as Facebook) have struggled to make these technologies work. 

    In addition, all around the world A.I. regulation is on the rise. It always takes time for law to catch-up with progress, and we have reached that point. In the European Union, since last year regulations have been put in place to protect and control the A.I. market. Bio-metrics, emotional reading, and predictive policing have all been restricted under the Parliament's law. There are exceptions made for edge cases and emergencies, but otherwise A.I. seems to be something to not be liberally used in the Union. In addition, transparency requirements and measures have been made obligatory for any company seeking to enter the field. The US has also made moves to push towards more regulation when it comes to A.I. Even as the USA has allowed for a relatively free market for A.I. domestically, it has made pushes in the UN assembly to increase global regulation for A.I., which may be indicative of a long term agenda. All in all, it seems it will only become more and more difficult to enter the field. 

   Ultimately, it has become difficult to be in A.I. these days. It is easy to see the marketing and notability of companies like OpenAI, however if you are going into the industry it is important to know what is happening within it. A.I. is going to change the world, but the more things changes the more they will stay the same. The reason why these facts are assessed is so that one can make the best decision on what to invest in or what to make into your livelihood. A.I. is here to stay, so we need to learn both how it will change the world, and how it will not.  

Sources

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/29/technology/ai-startups-financial-reality.html?login=google&auth=login-google

https://www.bls.gov/eag/eag.us.htm

https://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl?cost1=100.00&year1=200001&year2=202403

https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20240308IPR19015/artificial-intelligence-act-meps-adopt-landmark-law

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-14/us-pushes-for-global-ai-rules-at-un-as-regulations-lag-behind 

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For English communications: workacc200gfs@gmail.com

For Spanish communications: info@200gfs.com

 

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DON'T BELIVE IN THE CULT OF AI

Over the past years, droves of people have sung praises to AI as a technology. They say it is the future, something that will change the world like fire or electricity did. That the very concept of "work" will be revolutionized. Naturally, such these are mostly exaggerations. 

 In truth, AI is algorithms relating to a long string of calculus equations. It, as well as all software, can be thought of a list of automated instruction on how to turn a series of 0s and 1s into another series of 0s and 1s in ways that are useful to users. AI is no different. The way they are built is by training the intelligence to create an equation that will take in a prompt and output a result based on the most probable (read average) prediction on what the right answer might be. The AI is adjusted and trained better match outputs to desired inputs leading to programs like Leonardo.Ai or ChatGPT. 

What these sites often fail to mention is the limitations of AI. A computer can only compute arithmetic sequences and use algorithms to compute algebraic and more complex mathematical concepts. Because of this, everything we must ask a computer to do must be first abstracted in numerical terms, and the code written to output a result that can then be converted back into a useful result. Image generating AIs are given massive libraries of art works in order to create their images. However, unlike inspiration in which there is lateral interpretations and extrapolation, an AI will respond to the prompt, "girl with blue hair" and create an image of a girl with blue hair, not because it understands what "girl", "blue", or "hair" is, but because in its library, there is an image that is label with those words, so that must be the most likely correct answer. This often means that the AI will simply return one of the works in its database, bit rendered as it was passed through a filter. This is, by even the standards of the US courts, not an original work but instead theft. Take into consideration that most artists did not consent to have their artwork used in these programs, and you have an industry bankrupt of innovation.

You might have noticed there have been a lack of talk about AI innovations. In fact, I would wager there is more work on the internet about the anxieties of AI rather than leaps in AI development. There is a reason for this. Because AI is biased towards average based results, most of the things done by AI trend towards the generic. In addition, AI does not understand anything, so when it is asked by, say edit a paper, it will more often than not alter in ways that make sense to a statistical system, but is bizarre and unnatural for a human to say or read, due to the idiosyncratic nature of human language. More relevantly, AI can be outright disastrous when it comes to legal documentation. We have talked before about the court case in which lawyers used ChatGPT to write their arguments and the software outputted fake cases, which ended up being used in an actual trial. You can imagine the judge's reaction when he found out. Because AI has no concept of "reality", it might quote information that is completely fictitious because it is statistically likely information like that might exist, which to the computer is the same as it existing.

People in the AI industry are people who benefit from people believing in the infinite potential of AI. But if AI was so revolutionary, why would these companies not change the world themselves but instead ask their clients to use the technology for them? Ultimately AI might not be a passing trend, but its hype will be.

THE DIGITAL FACE STEALERS/ LOS LADRONES DE CARAS DIGITALES

We live in a strange era. For most of history, people have had a sense of logic to the world; a logic something that could be used to determined the absurd from the realistic. In modernity, specially in these past years, it has felt like this logic has abandon us to the point that the things we would have previously laughed about, are now urgently real. Shifts and threats that would be restricted to tall tales or novels becoming reality in ways that are disruptive and sometimes actively malicious. So lets talk about "deepfakes".

AI, that is something you don't seem to be able to avoid talk thereof these days. AI will replace artists, AI will replace authors, those are some of the common talking points. But AI will replace, "you"? Deepfake technology is a collective term used to describe software that is able to replicate the likeness and even the voice of a person to such an extent that people may confuse it for the reality. People like Tom Hanks, leading actor for movies such as Forest Gump or Saving Private Ryan, has had to deal with digital imitators. An AI clone had been used in Instagram advertisements against the consent of Hanks, leading the actor to release a statement clarifying what was happening. On a concerning note, many technology companies have pitched the concepts of AI clones as a solution to the problem of having to treat human beings as people. Naturally, this has been a point of contention in the SAG-AFTRA strike, between actors, writers, and the producers.

So we live in a sci-fi movie, what now? One of the things to keep in mind is that AI, by the nature of it being code, can only make things through a series of average values derived from calculus expressions. As such, AI can never have an "understanding" of the task it has been assigned to do. Once it has to go outside the box it was design for, if it can even, the AI has no capacity to adapt or innovate, only copy what it was trained on. It is not a dynamic system that can create its own ideas, instead it is best to think of it as part of the same family of programs such as auto-complete or Instagram filters. As the novelty of the technology fades, people will become urgently aware of its limits. One of the things AI will probably replace are jobs that employers did not see the value thereof in the first place. It will most likely be used by people who want to spend the least amount of money on the particular activity they are employing the AI for. What this means is that whether AI will replace humanity in the workplace is not a question of competency or efficiency, but instead whether the forces that be valued humanity in the first place.

So, what do you think? we would like to hear your opinions about AI and its place in the future, both in the arts and in business. Do you think AI will be here to stay or is it just a passing trend? How have you interacted with AI? Are you concerned that it will be used to harm people or are you excited about what possibilities may open up.